Vault Check: the NEAR Intents October incident, replayed from public chain state

The ledger (intents.near mt_supply) against the vault (the token contract's balance of intents.near) for USDT (BNB Chain) via HOT Omni Bridge, 18 decimals. No keys, no private data.

Time (UTC)
-
-
Vault Check status
BACKED
ledger ≤ vault
Unbacked USDT
$0
ledger minus vault
Alarm head start
-
alarm at $1,000 of growth
$0$10$100$1k$10k$100k$1M$10M30 Sep01 Oct02 Oct31.5 h head startALARMteam identifies

What Vault Check sees (public archival RPC)

    Nothing yet: every token is backed.

    What happened (the team's post-mortem)

      No public sign of trouble yet.